Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dreamersloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 18 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
1004 picks · 699 bans
Tiny
640 picks · 467 bans
Nature's Prophet
577 picks · 931 bans
Disruptor
560 picks · 412 bans
Tusk
533 picks · 410 bans
Snapfire
528 picks · 370 bans
Death Prophet
519 picks · 1212 bans
Clockwerk
500 picks · 385 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 46%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:14
Dreamers 42%Infamous 58%
The model gave 58% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 21:51.
Game 2prediction correct
Dreamers 42%Infamous 58%
The model gave 58% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 58%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2