DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDKDubai Kingsloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TJTeam Jiulinwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dubai Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Team Jiulin
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 330 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 479 bans
Snapfire
313 picks · 266 bans
Sven
290 picks · 301 bans
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 445 bans
Enchantress
287 picks · 475 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Dubai Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Dubai Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Dubai Kings 52%Team Jiulin 48%
The model gave 52% on Dubai Kings — the game was taken by Team Jiulin.
Game 2prediction missed
Dubai Kings 52%Team Jiulin 48%
The model gave 52% on Dubai Kings — the game was taken by Team Jiulin.
Model check result
Model favoriteDubai Kings · 52%
Series resultTeam Jiulin 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2