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EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
DYNASTYwin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DYNASTY

Mirana
Mirana
asdekor_r · 5 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mirele · 3 games
33%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
asdekor_r · 3 games
33%
Bane
Baneoften banned
mrls · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
mrls · 2 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
mrls · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 2 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 28 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 25 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 22 games
36%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 17 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
ariel · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
491 picks · 332 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
347 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 507 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
330 picks · 503 bans
52%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 643 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
282 picks · 310 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
267 picks · 192 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
260 picks · 279 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% DYNASTY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% DYNASTY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:9
DYNASTY 58%Nemiga Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on DYNASTY — the game was taken by DYNASTY in 37:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerbottega
43% · 73 games56% · 89 games
Lone Druidbyun
Lone Druid
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerмистер мораль
51% · 435 games47% · 227 games
Underlordhotoke^^
Underlord
Slardar
SlardarMirele
48% · 356 games53% · 247 games
Dragon KnightNattyNarwhal
Dragon Knight
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernasdekor_r
48% · 151 game53% · 576 games
HoodwinkCovisnine
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
Clockwerkmrls
44% · 303 games54% · 179 games
Miranaariel
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct34:22
DYNASTY 60%Nemiga Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on DYNASTY — the game was taken by DYNASTY in 42:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenbottega
42% · 122 games49% · 60 games
Drow Rangeryoung G
Drow Ranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirele
59% · 434 games49% · 367 games
Centaur Warrunnerhotoke^^
Centaur Warrunner
Underlord
Underlordмистер мораль
55% · 254 games53% · 141 game
Earth SpiritNattyNarwhal
Earth Spirit
Mirana
Miranaasdekor_r
47% · 198 games37% · 97 games
Skywrath MageCovisnine
Skywrath Mage
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightmrls
53% · 181 game49% · 524 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteDYNASTY · 65%
Series resultDYNASTY 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2