BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dyrachyo Teamloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rostik Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dyrachyo Team
Crystal Maiden
sony9sha · 2 games
Tusk
xsvampire · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
sony9sha · 2 games
Viperoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 2 games
Axe
LenaGol0vach · 1 game
Clockwerk
xsvampire · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
dyrachyo · 1 game
Jakiro
sony9sha · 1 game
Rostik Team
Centaur Warrunner
9970- · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
iful · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
iful · 1 game
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
Doomoften banned
9970- · 1 game
Elder Titan
Vlad · 1 game
Faceless Void
zvёzd · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 540 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 662 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 680 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 233 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength61% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:58
Dyrachyo Team 48%Rostik Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 37:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LeshracSixyooo
Juggernautzvёzd
Linadyrachyo
Night Stalker9970-
BeastmasterLenaGol0vach
Weaveriful
Grimstrokexsvampire
Spirit BreakerVlad
Lichsony9sha
Game 2prediction correct14:31
Dyrachyo Team 46%Rostik Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 25:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
Beastmaster9970-
Monkey KingSixyooo
Juggernautzvёzd
Legion CommanderLenaGol0vach
Keeper of the Lightiful
Windrangerxsvampire
OracleVlad
Zeussony9sha
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 55%
Series resultRostik Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2