Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionEEchpo4makloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
beastcoastwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Echpo4mak
Undying
Vovapain · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cooman · 1 game
Hoodwink
Afoninje · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Cooman · 1 game
Shadow Demon
Afoninje · 1 game
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
350 picks · 301 bans
Centaur Warrunner
332 picks · 510 bans
Vengeful Spirit
314 picks · 295 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 365 bans
Magnus
253 picks · 450 bans
Luna
245 picks · 226 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 365 bans
Techies
239 picks · 149 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 44%
Hero pool strength58% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:23
Echpo4mak 28%beastcoast 72%
The model gave 72% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Echpo4mak in 32:29.
Game 2prediction correct28:44
Echpo4mak 28%beastcoast 72%
The model gave 72% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 32:56.
Game 3prediction correct20:43
Echpo4mak 28%beastcoast 72%
The model gave 72% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 36:17.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 72%
Series resultbeastcoast 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3