Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Edgeloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Edge
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 16 games
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 11 games
Muerta
Michael · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
PiPi · 9 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Michael · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Vitaly · 7 games
Team Sin Compromiso
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 4 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
Lina
Parker · 3 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
535 picks · 612 bans
Ringmaster
474 picks · 239 bans
Jakiro
461 picks · 431 bans
Terrorblade
377 picks · 792 bans
Storm Spirit
357 picks · 524 bans
Ancient Apparition
351 picks · 796 bans
Tusk
341 picks · 300 bans
Shadow Shaman
328 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 64%
Hero pool strength62% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Edge
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:19
Edge 51%Team Sin Compromiso 49%
The model gave 51% on Edge — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 33:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterVitaly
MorphlingParker
Ember SpiritPiPi
PangolierDarkMago
Terrorbladepayk
Legion CommanderSacred
WeaverYadomi
JakiroStingeR
Shadow ShamanMichael
TuskGenek
Game 2prediction correct15:23
Edge 50%Team Sin Compromiso 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 35:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursapayk
MedusaParker
BrewmasterVitaly
PangolierDarkMago
Ember SpiritPiPi
TerrorbladeSacred
Ancient ApparitionYadomi
ClockwerkGenek
BatriderMichael
OracleStingeR
Model check result
Model favoriteEdge · 50%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2