BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
EgoBoysloss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 968 bans
Lion
370 picks · 201 bans
Mars
360 picks · 583 bans
Grimstroke
336 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
302 picks · 174 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 216 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 619 bans
Void Spirit
264 picks · 454 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 73%
Hero pool strength50% EgoBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:31
EgoBoys 25%D2 Hustlers 75%
The model gave 75% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 28:02.
Game 2prediction correct47:34
EgoBoys 25%D2 Hustlers 75%
The model gave 75% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 41:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 75%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2