BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
EgoBoyswin 2:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
381 picks · 842 bans
Void Spirit
358 picks · 507 bans
Mars
309 picks · 549 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 479 bans
Earth Spirit
272 picks · 234 bans
Rubick
252 picks · 154 bans
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 515 bans
Wraith King
236 picks · 370 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% EgoBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 73%
Series resultEgoBoys 2:0
Series predictionmissed