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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EHOME

Bane
Bane
zzq · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 10 games
40%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 10 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
7e · 7 games
29%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
shiro · 7 games
43%
Weaver
Weaversignature
zzq · 6 games
67%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
445 picks · 266 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 497 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
365 picks · 506 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
351 picks · 481 bans
52%
Kunkka
Kunkka
282 picks · 494 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
275 picks · 422 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
262 picks · 182 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
255 picks · 301 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% EHOME
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total72% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:35
EHOME 28%Royal Never Give Up 72%
The model gave 72% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 44:59.
Game 2prediction correct9:20
EHOME 28%Royal Never Give Up 72%
The model gave 72% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 30:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 72%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2