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Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EHOME

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 15 games
47%
Bane
Bane
zzq · 14 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 11 games
45%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
75%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
shiro · 8 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
7e · 7 games
29%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
shiro · 7 games
57%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
448 picks · 274 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
432 picks · 579 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
391 picks · 459 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
347 picks · 742 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
330 picks · 460 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 475 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 427 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
288 picks · 431 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total68% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:42
EHOME 32%Royal Never Give Up 68%
The model gave 68% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 40:13.
Game 2prediction correct28:40
EHOME 32%Royal Never Give Up 68%
The model gave 68% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 33:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 68%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2