i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Asterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EHOME
Marsoften banned
Chalice · 17 games
Tusk
xNova · 17 games
Pucksignature
Xm · 14 games
Earth Spiritsignature
xNova · 10 games
Grimstroke
Frisk · 10 games
Lunasignature
Frisk · 9 games
Juggernautsignature
Sylar · 7 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chalice · 7 games
Team Aster
Marssignature
Xxs · 14 games
Abaddon
LaNm · 13 games
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 13 games
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 13 games
Gyrocopter
LaNm · 12 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 10 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 10 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
433 picks · 990 bans
Void Spirit
413 picks · 576 bans
Death Prophet
366 picks · 710 bans
Mars
351 picks · 592 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 309 bans
Grimstroke
306 picks · 288 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 375 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 57%
Series resultTeam Aster 0:2
Series predictionmissed