Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionEEnclavewin 1:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DDisRespecTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Enclave
No games played over 6 months.
DisRespecT
Batrideroften banned
chambi · 1 game
Doomoften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Reynauld · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
chambi · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
SuperNova · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
273 picks · 405 bans
Tidehunter
266 picks · 392 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 642 bans
Bane
243 picks · 181 bans
Weaver
223 picks · 427 bans
Lina
218 picks · 474 bans
Lion
208 picks · 107 bans
Void Spirit
205 picks · 264 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% DisRespecT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% DisRespecT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:22
Enclave 46%DisRespecT 54%
The model gave 54% on DisRespecT — the game was taken by Enclave in 44:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteDisRespecT · 54%
Series resultEnclave 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1