The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Enjoy Boys
Axeoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Bane
Rein · 2 games
Doomoften banned
мистер мораль · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
v1olent- · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
swedenstrong · 2 games
Lich
Rein · 2 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 2 games
Snapfireoften banned
Squad1x · 2 games
Team Bald Reborn
Clockwerkoften banned
bengan · 4 games
Hoodwink
mrls · 3 games
Lycanoften banned
Xibbe · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Sancity · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Shad · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Sancity · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
mrls · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
635 picks · 439 bans
Rubick
588 picks · 330 bans
Phoenix
471 picks · 556 bans
Pangolier
457 picks · 659 bans
Tiny
433 picks · 373 bans
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 521 bans
Puck
342 picks · 1027 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 408 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 73%
Hero pool strength61% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Enjoy Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:13
Enjoy Boys 52%Team Bald Reborn 48%
The model gave 52% on Enjoy Boys — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 38:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doomv1olent-
Nature's ProphetShad
Storm SpiritSquad1x
AxeXibbe
Dawnbreakerмистер мораль
Ember SpiritSancity
Rubickswedenstrong
Phoenixbengan
EnchantressRein
Lionmrls
Game 2prediction correct33:11
Enjoy Boys 51%Team Bald Reborn 49%
The model gave 51% on Enjoy Boys — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 31:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerv1olent-
Nature's ProphetShad
Storm SpiritSquad1x
DoomXibbe
Centaur Warrunnerмистер мораль
ZeusSancity
Dark Willowswedenstrong
Hoodwinkmrls
Treant ProtectorRein
Banebengan
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy Boys · 55%
Series resultEnjoy Boys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2