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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entityloss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Entity

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fishman · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 1 game
100%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Kataomi · 1 game
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
100%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 23 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 20 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
388 picks · 712 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
327 picks · 629 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
324 picks · 266 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
323 picks · 217 bans
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
321 picks · 372 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 469 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
301 picks · 350 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
297 picks · 537 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:10
Entity 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Entity — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:52.
Game 2prediction missed35:21
Entity 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Entity — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:08.
Game 3prediction missed13:26
Entity 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Entity — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 59%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3