BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Entityloss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubick
tOfu · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 11 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 11 games
Silencersignature
tOfu · 10 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
BOOM · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 8 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
516 picks · 351 bans
Tusk
487 picks · 482 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 423 bans
Treant Protector
363 picks · 418 bans
Mirana
351 picks · 342 bans
Snapfire
306 picks · 161 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 685 bans
Clockwerk
268 picks · 176 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 71%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total50% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:19
Entity 50%Gaimin Gladiators 50%
The model gave 50% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 19:33.
Game 2prediction missed49:15
Entity 50%Gaimin Gladiators 50%
The model gave 50% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:15.
Game 3prediction missed36:25
Entity 50%Gaimin Gladiators 50%
The model gave 50% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 56:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 50%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3