Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gambit Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 274 bans
Mars
384 picks · 527 bans
Queen of Pain
368 picks · 501 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 472 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 469 bans
Kunkka
286 picks · 507 bans
Grimstroke
266 picks · 188 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 331 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% Entity
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:25
Entity 68%Gambit Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 22:17.
Game 2prediction missed23:27
Entity 68%Gambit Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 49:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 68%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2