Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincereloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Natus Vincere
Grimstroke
ALOHADANCE · 13 games
Spirit Breakersignature
GeneRaL · 13 games
Silencersignature
Solo · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
No[o]ne · 9 games
Weaversignature
ALOHADANCE · 9 games
Lion
ALOHADANCE · 7 games
Puckoften banned
No[o]ne · 7 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
V-Tune · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 376 bans
Mars
460 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
424 picks · 521 bans
Weaver
413 picks · 857 bans
Snapfire
357 picks · 182 bans
Kunkka
329 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
328 picks · 517 bans
Disruptor
269 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total82% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:29
Entity 82%Natus Vincere 18%
The model gave 82% on Entity — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:32.
Game 2prediction missed27:19
Entity 82%Natus Vincere 18%
The model gave 82% on Entity — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 82%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2