Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Winstrike Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Winstrike Team
Void Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 16 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 14 games
Weaversignature
yamich · 14 games
Linaoften banned
re1bl · 13 games
Abaddonoften banned
Panto · 12 games
Marssignature
chshrct · 12 games
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
yamich · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tidehunter
255 picks · 383 bans
Mars
253 picks · 355 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 589 bans
Bane
223 picks · 153 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 251 bans
Lion
214 picks · 98 bans
Lina
211 picks · 454 bans
Pangolier
208 picks · 256 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:9
Entity 53%Winstrike Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Entity — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 37:28.
Game 2prediction missed23:28
Entity 53%Winstrike Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Entity — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 40:45.
Game 3prediction missed11:31
Entity 53%Winstrike Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Entity — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 33:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 53%
Series resultEntity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3