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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Estar Backsloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Amaru Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Estar Backs

Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Accel · 12 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 10 games
20%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Accel · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
payk · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Accel · 4 games
75%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
payk · 4 games
25%
Omniknight
Omniknight
bsK7- · 4 games
25%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
bsK7- · 4 games
100%

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Michael · 10 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 10 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 9 games
33%
Kez
Kezsignature
Wits · 9 games
78%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 8 games
50%
Axe
Axesignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
TaiLung · 7 games
29%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
597 picks · 365 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 579 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
483 picks · 261 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
452 picks · 386 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
402 picks · 550 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
337 picks · 908 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 841 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
323 picks · 276 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Amaru Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Estar Backs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Estar Backs 54%Amaru Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
Estar Backs 54%Amaru Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteEstar Backs · 54%
Series resultAmaru Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2