BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Ryoya · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
Witch Doctor
Jubei · 4 games
Earthshaker
FrancisLee · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Ryoya · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
FrancisLee · 3 games
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
376 picks · 790 bans
Void Spirit
348 picks · 471 bans
Mars
299 picks · 524 bans
Earth Spirit
270 picks · 227 bans
Death Prophet
266 picks · 421 bans
Rubick
247 picks · 146 bans
Keeper of the Light
234 picks · 489 bans
Wraith King
229 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% EgoBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% EgoBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Eternity 47%EgoBoys 53%
The model gave 53% on EgoBoys — the game was taken by EgoBoys.
Model check result
Model favoriteEgoBoys · 53%
Series resultEgoBoys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1