BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Eternityloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Ryoya · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
Witch Doctor
Jubei · 4 games
Earthshaker
FrancisLee · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Ryoya · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
FrancisLee · 3 games
Infinity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
350 picks · 735 bans
Void Spirit
329 picks · 428 bans
Mars
282 picks · 497 bans
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 217 bans
Death Prophet
241 picks · 371 bans
Rubick
234 picks · 132 bans
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 462 bans
Nyx Assassin
217 picks · 669 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Eternity 34%Infinity Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 66%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1