BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Eternityloss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
simply TOOBASEDwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Ryoya · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
Witch Doctor
Jubei · 4 games
Earthshaker
FrancisLee · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Ryoya · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
FrancisLee · 3 games
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
355 picks · 744 bans
Void Spirit
331 picks · 438 bans
Mars
284 picks · 503 bans
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 219 bans
Death Prophet
242 picks · 380 bans
Rubick
236 picks · 137 bans
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 468 bans
Wraith King
218 picks · 314 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% simply TOOBASED
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Eternity 25%simply TOOBASED 75%
The model gave 75% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 75%
Series resultsimply TOOBASED 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1