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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Eternityloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Eternity

Mirana
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ryoya · 4 games
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
100%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Jubei · 4 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
FrancisLee · 3 games
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
33%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Ryoya · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
FrancisLee · 3 games
33%

Team DogChamp

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
83%
Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bloody Nine · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
yarintheslayer · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Bloody Nine · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
67%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
yarintheslayer · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
379 picks · 799 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
352 picks · 478 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
301 picks · 529 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 228 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
267 picks · 430 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
249 picks · 147 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
236 picks · 491 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
231 picks · 346 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Eternity 38%Team DogChamp 62%
The model gave 62% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 62%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1