?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternityloss 1:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Eternity

Bane
Bane
Jubei · 9 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Jubei · 6 games
17%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Lil_Nick · 5 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Cys · 4 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Jubei · 4 games
50%
Sven
Svenoften banned
YamSun · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
high_shaggy · 4 games
25%

Wildcard Gaming

Luna
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 4 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
67%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Sunlight · 1 game
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 528 bans
46%
Bane
Bane
362 picks · 262 bans
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 205 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
310 picks · 723 bans
56%
Io
Io
240 picks · 598 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
239 picks · 335 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
236 picks · 306 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
233 picks · 155 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:31
Eternity 31%Wildcard Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Eternity in 51:10.
Game 2prediction correct12:32
Eternity 31%Wildcard Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 25:15.
Game 3prediction correct22:35
Eternity 31%Wildcard Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 39:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 69%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3