BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Eternityloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XXxXxXXxwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Eternity
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 6 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
EternaLEnVy · 4 games
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
Clockwerk
Jubei · 3 games
Lion
Boris · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Snapfire
YamSun · 3 games
XxXxXXx
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 2 games
Snapfire
MoOz · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Underlord
Frank · 1 game
Undying
Frank · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
266 picks · 148 bans
Mars
263 picks · 349 bans
Tidehunter
252 picks · 387 bans
Lina
250 picks · 510 bans
Pangolier
228 picks · 327 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 488 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 294 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Eternity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Eternity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:43
Eternity 52%XxXxXXx 48%
The model gave 52% on Eternity — the game was taken by XxXxXXx in 35:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverYamSun
Templar AssassinMnz
RazorSammyboy
PuckLeostyle
LionLil_Nick
MarsFrank
BaneJubei
GyrocopterMjz
51% · 93 games
IoMoOz
Game 2prediction missed20:35
Eternity 52%XxXxXXx 48%
The model gave 52% on Eternity — the game was taken by XxXxXXx in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaYamSun
JuggernautMnz
Void SpiritSammyboy
Storm SpiritLeostyle
RubickLil_Nick
MagnusFrank
BaneJubei
SilencerMoOz
48% · 75 games
DisruptorMjz
Model check result
Model favoriteEternity · 51%
Series resultXxXxXXx 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2