Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Euronics Gamingloss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CHILLAXwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Euronics Gaming
Phantom Assassin
Focus · 3 games
Spirit Breaker
Qupe · 2 games
Mirana
Qupe · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
Mo13ei · 1 game
Rubick
Qupe · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mo13ei · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
Mo13ei · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Mo13ei · 1 game
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
266 picks · 324 bans
Tidehunter
259 picks · 377 bans
Monkey King
247 picks · 570 bans
Lion
227 picks · 102 bans
Void Spirit
227 picks · 247 bans
Lina
221 picks · 455 bans
Pangolier
216 picks · 269 bans
Bane
212 picks · 135 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Euronics Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Euronics Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:11
Euronics Gaming 55%CHILLAX 45%
The model gave 55% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by Euronics Gaming in 29:37.
Game 2prediction missed14:35
Euronics Gaming 55%CHILLAX 45%
The model gave 55% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 30:32.
Game 3prediction missed25:38
Euronics Gaming 55%CHILLAX 45%
The model gave 55% on Euronics Gaming — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 39:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteEuronics Gaming · 55%
Series resultCHILLAX 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3