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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 1:1
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 28 games
39%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 25 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Wisper · 25 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 25 games
32%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Matthew · 23 games
52%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Chris Luck · 21 game
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 20 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
45%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
74%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 26 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
84%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
367 picks · 179 bans
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
280 picks · 394 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
232 picks · 405 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
229 picks · 362 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
222 picks · 337 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
221 picks · 445 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
216 picks · 418 bans
52%
Morphling
Morphling
213 picks · 393 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)19% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:30
Evil Geniuses 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPakazs
53% · 83 games49% · 47 games
Centaur WarrunnerPure~
Centaur Warrunner
Timbersaw
TimbersawWisper
48% · 143 games48% · 64 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Pangolier
PangolierChris Luck
54% · 317 games49% · 258 games
Primal BeastgpK~
Primal Beast
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMatthew
49% · 88 games55% · 229 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Warlock
WarlockPanda
47% · 30 games44% · 63 games
GrimstrokeSave-
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction missed38:20
Evil Geniuses 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 42:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenPakazs
60% · 53 games44% · 66 games
Phantom AssassinNightfall
Phantom Assassin
Earthshaker
EarthshakerChris Luck
54% · 61 game43% · 54 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Puck
PuckWisper
61% · 77 games49% · 56 games
Nyx AssassingpK~
Nyx Assassin
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetPanda
55% · 99 games39% · 110 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMatthew
59% · 61 game35% · 65 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Accuracy by game1 of 2