?
arrow_backBack to match
WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Mars
Marssignature
Tavo · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
KJ · 7 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Kingrd · 6 games
83%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
4dr · 6 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
KJ · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4dr · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Thiolicor · 5 games
40%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
KJ · 5 games
80%

Team Liquid

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Taiga · 20 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
58%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 17 games
53%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Taiga · 15 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Taiga · 13 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Boxi · 11 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
SumaiL · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
408 picks · 640 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
406 picks · 224 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
399 picks · 993 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
370 picks · 356 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
358 picks · 198 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 222 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 216 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 378 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Evil Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Evil Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
Evil Geniuses 58%Team Liquid 42%
The model gave 58% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:06.
Game 2prediction missed28:19
Evil Geniuses 58%Team Liquid 42%
The model gave 58% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Geniuses · 58%
Accuracy by game0 of 2