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BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
Evil Geniuseswin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Secretloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Wisper · 29 games
45%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 26 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Wisper · 25 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 24 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 23 games
65%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Chris Luck · 21 game
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Panda · 21 game
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
45%

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 20 games
65%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 14 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 14 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Armel · 14 games
36%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
54%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
46%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Armel · 13 games
31%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
416 picks · 197 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 475 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
290 picks · 280 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
286 picks · 467 bans
46%
Morphling
Morphling
277 picks · 515 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
272 picks · 461 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
251 picks · 451 bans
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
248 picks · 600 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 35%
Hero pool strength53% Evil Geniuses
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:19
Evil Geniuses 51%Team Secret 49%
The model gave 51% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 42:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenPakazs
53% · 64 games45% · 26 games
VenomancerFbz
Venomancer
Brewmaster
BrewmasterWisper
47% · 40 games57% · 92 games
Primal BeastSumaiL
Primal Beast
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderChris Luck
48% · 77 games44% · 73 games
Monkey KingCrystallis
Monkey King
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMatthew
57% · 101 game45% · 108 games
Doomyamich
Doom
Grimstroke
GrimstrokePanda
55% · 28 games36% · 11 games
Winter WyvernPuppey
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 53%
Series resultEvil Geniuses 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1