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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Evil Rabbitloss 1:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Azure Raywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
67%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
33%

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
59%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
fy · 15 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 14 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
lou · 14 games
71%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 14 games
36%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
372 picks · 356 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
360 picks · 404 bans
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 521 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
289 picks · 492 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 346 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
278 picks · 598 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total79% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:17
Evil Rabbit 21%Azure Ray 79%
The model gave 79% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 29:03.
Game 2prediction correct33:17
Evil Rabbit 21%Azure Ray 79%
The model gave 79% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 33:26.
Game 3prediction correct42:18
Evil Rabbit 21%Azure Ray 79%
The model gave 79% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 52:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 79%
Series resultAzure Ray 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3