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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 11 games
45%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 10 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 10 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 12 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 11 games
55%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
428 picks · 166 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 475 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
306 picks · 524 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 611 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 708 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
269 picks · 343 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
263 picks · 147 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
257 picks · 106 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total61% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:41
Execration 54%Army Geniuses 46%
The model gave 54% on Execration — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 34:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerPalos
50% · 55 games47% · 66 games
Templar AssassinMamangDaya
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritBob
45% · 75 games51% · 78 games
Leshracdb-
Leshrac
Lion
LionRR
50% · 178 games59% · 34 games
Legion CommanderwoMy
Legion Commander
53% · 130 games
PhoenixLym-
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed8:43
Execration 57%Army Geniuses 43%
The model gave 57% on Execration — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPalos
65% · 43 games38% · 26 games
Rikidb-
Riki
Invoker
InvokerBob
59% · 79 games42% · 40 games
Dark SeerMamangDaya
Dark Seer
Oracle
OracleRR
55% · 87 games35% · 59 games
AxewoMy
Axe
46% · 84 games
Earth SpiritLym-
Earth Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 61%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2