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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ivoryloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
cml · 13 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Tino- · 12 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 12 games
58%
Marci
Marcisignature
Tino- · 12 games
67%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Abat · 12 games
58%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Shanks · 12 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Abat · 10 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Abat · 10 games
70%

Ivory

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dric~ · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Rupido · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Rupido · 1 game
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ken · 1 game
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 349 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 407 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
343 picks · 258 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
320 picks · 513 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
282 picks · 254 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 364 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
267 picks · 458 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:38
Execration 62%Ivory 38%
The model gave 62% on Execration — the game was taken by Ivory in 36:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKarma丶
41% · 203 games55% · 75 games
PuckKen
Puck
Io
IoTino-
44% · 69 games57% · 157 games
Centaur WarrunnerRupido
Centaur Warrunner
Warlock
Warlockcml
38% · 22 games57% · 138 games
Shadow DemonDric~
Shadow Demon
Marci
MarciShanks
49% · 76 games
Game 2prediction correct26:7
Execration 65%Ivory 35%
The model gave 65% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 20:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaKarma丶
56% · 141 game48% · 204 games
TinyKen
Tiny
Marci
MarciTino-
56% · 84 games49% · 230 games
PangolierRupido
Pangolier
Batrider
BatriderShanks
45% · 207 games44% · 23 games
TinkerDric~
Tinker
Warlock
Warlockcml
55% · 25 games
Game 3prediction correct21:9
Execration 65%Ivory 35%
The model gave 65% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 33:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaKarma丶
52% · 124 games55% · 159 games
DoomRupido
Doom
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeTino-
46% · 104 games43% · 122 games
Ember SpiritKen
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
Enchantresscml
56% · 180 games48% · 220 games
RubickDric~
Rubick
Mirana
MiranaShanks
52% · 93 games
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 75%
Series resultExecration 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3