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OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lilgunloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%

Lilgun

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
367 picks · 170 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 123 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
266 picks · 457 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 520 bans
57%
Luna
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
243 picks · 411 bans
49%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 244 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 328 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 39%
Hero pool strength58% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 56%