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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
M Yloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 11 games
45%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
RR · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 9 games
78%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 9 games
44%

M Y

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
426 picks · 171 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
317 picks · 525 bans
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 467 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
301 picks · 625 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 760 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
299 picks · 167 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
280 picks · 362 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
276 picks · 222 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 63%
Series resultExecration 2:1
Series predictioncorrect