BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TOTeam Orcaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Linaoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Batridersignature
Bob · 11 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 11 games
Bane
RR · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Tino- · 9 games
Tiny
Tino- · 9 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Bob · 7 games
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
547 picks · 369 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 577 bans
Mars
446 picks · 602 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 547 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 574 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Team Orca
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Team Orca
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:4
Execration 21%Team Orca 79%
The model gave 79% on Team Orca — the game was taken by Execration in 17:02.
Game 2prediction missed50:42
Execration 21%Team Orca 79%
The model gave 79% on Team Orca — the game was taken by Execration in 47:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Orca · 79%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2