OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team SMGloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 13 games
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 19 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 14 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 14 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 13 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Tusksignature
AhFu · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
376 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
Lina
267 picks · 473 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 524 bans
Luna
252 picks · 350 bans
Mars
246 picks · 418 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 301 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Team SMG
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total65% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 65%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictionmissed