?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Unity Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Mirana
Mirana
Shanks · 12 games
58%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
64%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Palos · 11 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 10 games
40%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
60%
Visage
Visagesignature
Tino- · 10 games
70%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Shanks · 9 games
67%

Unity Gaming

Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Night · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
mks- · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Lich
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
373 picks · 601 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
326 picks · 214 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
314 picks · 550 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
253 picks · 482 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 377 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
232 picks · 137 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 272 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
211 picks · 731 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:49
Execration 64%Unity Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Execration — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 48:52.
Game 2prediction missed40:53
Execration 64%Unity Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Execration — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 53:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 64%
Series resultUnity Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2