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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fantastic Fiveloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fantastic Five

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Askold · 13 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 12 games
75%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
633 · 8 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Askold · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
633 · 7 games
57%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
SuperNova · 6 games
33%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Muka · 5 games
0%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Muka · 5 games
20%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
439 picks · 176 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
329 picks · 535 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
326 picks · 186 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 479 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
311 picks · 783 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 620 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 233 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
283 picks · 359 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Fantastic Five
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:32
Fantastic Five 36%Chicken Fighters 64%
The model gave 64% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 33:50.
Game 2prediction correct12:27
Fantastic Five 36%Chicken Fighters 64%
The model gave 64% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 20:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 64%
Series resultChicken Fighters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2