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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fantastic Fiveloss 0:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fantastic Five

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
jAMES · 13 games
31%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Actor · 12 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
jAMES · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Askold · 9 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Askold · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 8 games
25%
Mirana
Mirana
Muka · 8 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
633 · 7 games
29%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 34 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
68%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 24 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 21 game
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 21 game
57%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
hAze · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
320 picks · 445 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
274 picks · 209 bans
60%
Monkey King
Monkey King
273 picks · 685 bans
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
263 picks · 407 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
249 picks · 136 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
248 picks · 525 bans
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
215 picks · 245 bans
46%
Lina
Lina
208 picks · 473 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 64%
Hero pool strength62% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total74% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:34
Fantastic Five 35%V-Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 32:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawMalr1ne
43% · 131 game52% · 85 games
LunaTA2000
Luna
Monkey King
Monkey KingArk
50% · 157 games44% · 17 games
Spirit Breakerlaise
Spirit Breaker
46% · 81 game
BatriderhAze
Batrider
59% · 58 games
InvokerArrOw
Invoker
63% · 47 games
Baneantoha
Bane
Game 2prediction correct15:30
Fantastic Five 35%V-Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 28:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaArk
56% · 106 games42% · 44 games
Anti-MageTA2000
Anti-Mage
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMalr1ne
48% · 194 games57% · 36 games
Slardarlaise
Slardar
46% · 99 games
Storm SpirithAze
Storm Spirit
49% · 61 game
DisruptorArrOw
Disruptor
49% · 60 games
Ioantoha
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 74%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2