The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fantasy Gamingloss 0:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Infinity Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fantasy Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
Techies
Demon · 6 games
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
481 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 749 bans
Centaur Warrunner
429 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 411 bans
Batrider
403 picks · 759 bans
Rubick
383 picks · 166 bans
Dragon Knight
355 picks · 1041 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 742 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Fantasy Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fantasy Gaming 38%Infinity Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 62%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1