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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Fart Studiosloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Cutwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fart Studios

Rubick
Rubick
Newsham · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
iAnnihilate · 10 games
40%
Lina
Linasignature
iAnnihilate · 7 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Jenkins · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Sonic · 6 games
83%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
BSJ · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
Newsham · 5 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BSJ · 5 games
20%

The Cut

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
empyrean5 · 8 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
bgod · 8 games
25%
Silencer
Silencersignature
empyrean5 · 8 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 7 games
29%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
bgod · 6 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Chives · 5 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
high_shaggy · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
982 picks · 667 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 484 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
592 picks · 943 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
559 picks · 440 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
526 picks · 353 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
525 picks · 523 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
509 picks · 1121 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
485 picks · 357 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Fart Studios
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fart Studios 49%The Cut 51%
The model gave 51% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut.
Game 2prediction correct
Fart Studios 49%The Cut 51%
The model gave 51% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 51%
Series resultThe Cut 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2