DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fart Studioswin 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Uunknownloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fart Studios
No games played over 6 months.
unknown
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
324 picks · 309 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 454 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 372 bans
Snapfire
318 picks · 269 bans
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 454 bans
Windranger
290 picks · 403 bans
Enchantress
282 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Fart Studios
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Fart Studios
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fart Studios 69%unknown 31%
The model gave 69% on Fart Studios — the game was taken by Fart Studios.
Game 2prediction missed
Fart Studios 69%unknown 31%
The model gave 69% on Fart Studios — the game was taken by unknown.
Game 3prediction correct
Fart Studios 69%unknown 31%
The model gave 69% on Fart Studios — the game was taken by Fart Studios.
Model check result
Model favoriteFart Studios · 69%
Series resultFart Studios 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3