ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionFferziloss 0:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PalataNomer8win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ferzi
No games played over 6 months.
PalataNomer8
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 182 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 387 bans
Dark Willow
176 picks · 73 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earthshaker
168 picks · 166 bans
Earth Spirit
152 picks · 244 bans
Phoenix
150 picks · 204 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ferzi
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% PalataNomer8
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ferzi 41%PalataNomer8 59%
The model gave 59% on PalataNomer8 — the game was taken by PalataNomer8.
Model check result
Model favoritePalataNomer8 · 59%
Series resultPalataNomer8 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1