Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Филиппиныwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Лаосloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Лаос
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
753 picks · 610 bans
Disruptor
612 picks · 534 bans
Doom
552 picks · 1092 bans
Beastmaster
548 picks · 1335 bans
Techies
478 picks · 536 bans
Pangolier
469 picks · 963 bans
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1156 bans
Enchantress
451 picks · 644 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Филиппины
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Лаос
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Филиппины 39%Лаос 61%
The model gave 61% on Лаос — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Game 2prediction missed
Филиппины 39%Лаос 61%
The model gave 61% on Лаос — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Model check result
Model favoriteЛаос · 61%
Series resultФилиппины 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2