Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Филиппиныwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Мьянмаloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
742 picks · 595 bans
Disruptor
609 picks · 529 bans
Doom
553 picks · 1097 bans
Beastmaster
548 picks · 1312 bans
Techies
487 picks · 547 bans
Pangolier
468 picks · 949 bans
Ember Spirit
461 picks · 1135 bans
Enchantress
451 picks · 642 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Филиппины
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Филиппины
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Филиппины 61%Мьянма 39%
The model gave 61% on Филиппины — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Game 2prediction correct
Филиппины 61%Мьянма 39%
The model gave 61% on Филиппины — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Model check result
Model favoriteФилиппины · 61%
Series resultФилиппины 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2