BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionFBFive Beaverswin 2:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
V1dar Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Five Beavers
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
Jakiro
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Razoroften banned
Otaker · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
V1dar Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
dizzying · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Kunkka
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Egor · 3 games
Snapfire
Groom · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
361 picks · 348 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 512 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 253 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 356 bans
Phoenix
270 picks · 474 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Five Beavers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Five Beavers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:37
Five Beavers 74%V1dar Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Five Beavers — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming in 45:01.
Game 2prediction correct30:18
Five Beavers 74%V1dar Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Five Beavers — the game was taken by Five Beavers in 44:10.
Game 3prediction correct44:15
Five Beavers 74%V1dar Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Five Beavers — the game was taken by Five Beavers in 32:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteFive Beavers · 74%
Series resultFive Beavers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3