The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Flame Esportsloss 0:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
11p2mwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Flame Esports
Rubick
Jeezy · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
emptiness · 5 games
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stoic · 3 games
Windranger
legacy · 3 games
Disruptor
Stoic · 2 games
Doomoften banned
emptiness · 2 games
1p2m
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 411 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 298 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
467 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 615 bans
Puck
348 picks · 989 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 291 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Flame Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Flame Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:50
Flame Esports 56%1p2m 44%
The model gave 56% on Flame Esports — the game was taken by 1p2m in 47:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezDeles
Shadow Fiendhairo
Brewmasteremptiness
TinyZipZzzap
RubickJeezy
AxeMegoWay
Winter WyvernStoic
HoodwinkKatari_
47% · 85 games
Disruptorantoha
Model check result
Model favoriteFlame Esports · 63%
Series result1p2m 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1