DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Flameloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CBChimpanzini Bananiniwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Flame
Huskaroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Argius · 1 game
Leshrac
S1RENM · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Argius · 1 game
Chimpanzini Bananini
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
299 picks · 748 bans
Disruptor
290 picks · 261 bans
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
Pugna
261 picks · 280 bans
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 697 bans
Tusk
253 picks · 243 bans
Marci
252 picks · 703 bans
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 579 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Flame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Chimpanzini Bananini
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Flame 28%Chimpanzini Bananini 72%
The model gave 72% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by Flame.
Game 2prediction correct
Flame 28%Chimpanzini Bananini 72%
The model gave 72% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini.
Game 3prediction correct
Flame 28%Chimpanzini Bananini 72%
The model gave 72% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimpanzini Bananini · 72%
Series resultChimpanzini Bananini 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3