BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Tiny
NARMAN · 16 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 11 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Azur4 · 10 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
Faceless Voidsignature
NARMAN · 8 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 8 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
648 picks · 505 bans
Marci
471 picks · 698 bans
Dawnbreaker
421 picks · 599 bans
Puck
416 picks · 876 bans
Winter Wyvern
336 picks · 414 bans
Death Prophet
289 picks · 473 bans
Zeus
288 picks · 385 bans
Razor
270 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:32
Fnatic 76%Army Geniuses 24%
The model gave 76% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 37:52.
Game 2prediction missed37:18
Fnatic 76%Army Geniuses 24%
The model gave 76% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 32:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 76%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2