BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Marcioften banned
Palos · 12 games
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
Mirana
Shanks · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 10 games
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
Visagesignature
Tino- · 10 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Enigmasignature
Tino- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
352 picks · 238 bans
Marci
341 picks · 567 bans
Undying
291 picks · 501 bans
Tusk
263 picks · 170 bans
Pangolier
254 picks · 412 bans
Primal Beast
248 picks · 503 bans
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 284 bans
Crystal Maiden
205 picks · 96 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total71% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:11
Fnatic 71%Execration 29%
The model gave 71% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 30:55.
Game 2prediction missed
Fnatic 71%Execration 29%
The model gave 71% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 71%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2